Assume you’re running ISIS, a rabid bunch of feral mongrels committed to wiping out everyone who doesn’t think (and I use ‘think’ loosely) like you.
You’ve captured various innocents and held them for months or years, and then from time to time you behead one of them in a glare of self-promoted internet publicity, rapidly taken up by the western press.
Why doesn’t the western press question the often very long interval between capture and murder of these select few, given your standard practice of countless and immediate out of hand murders as you rampage across the countryside?
Why doesn’t the western press go behind the gory videos and justifiable if selective outrage about the, in the grand scheme of things, quite inconsequential deaths of a few western innocents against the backdrop of millions of others around the planet?
What do you gain from these carefully contrived and carefully timed releases?
How do they relate to your battlefield wins and losses?
What would the western press, lazily addicted to presenting a precis of government and corporate press releases as news, find if it looked at, say, the timing of the loss by ISIS of the Mosul Dam and a beheading? And other beheadings and ISIS military failures?
Is ISIS just randomly selecting beheading victims from its large stock of captives, despite holding these creatures of the devil for even a couple of years beforehand, or is it carefully using their beheadings to distract attention from its military defeats?
I suggest that the latter is the case, and that the western press is unwittingly complicit in this because of its love of colour and movement over sensible analysis.
This in turn infects the undiscriminating public which, predictably, supports strong military action against the ISIS mongrels, reinforced by the erroneous belief that beheading a captive demonstrates invincible military power against forces which aren’t bound and forced to their knees.
Which brings us to one of the basic principles of revolutionary theory, which is to commit acts which will force the opposed greater power, typically a government, to engage in increasingly repressive actions which in time will turn the populace against the greater power to support the revolutionaries.
Which in this case is achieved by ISIS presenting itself, with all the tricks of modern media propaganda, to its sympathetic audience as the victim of a western conspiracy against Islam.
Which is somewhat questionable for a supposedly fundamentalist Sunni version of Islam, given that sect’s particular and Islam’s general historical opposition to the presentation of human figures in art etc, which is why much classical Islamic architecture and design involves geometric and related designs rather than images of humans or other living beings.
Which just brings me back to the eternal fact that those who seek and exercise illegitimate power are almost always without moral or other consistent principle, and usually without the principle they purport to advance.
Which I think applies to ISIS, which is rather better at skilful manipulation of the western press than it is in military endeavours.
I suspect that, if ISIS continues to experience defeats, ISIS beheadings will increase in proportion to those defeats.
If so, those beheadings should be taken not, as ISIS likes to present them, as evidence of its offensive and weak power to behead a defenceless captive but as evidence of its steadily increasing military failure.