to 1000ydstare:
Thanks for your very extensive answers. I agree with Chevan, you should write books.
Amazingly or not, but I agree with most your points. But I guess I make different conclusions. No… actually my conclusions are almost like yours, just with a twitch… see your self.
Here I will try to cover a couple of issues.
Not sure exactly which theories of Basil Liddell Hart’s you are on about, but they are merely his opinions.
Here is the quote I have of Mr.Basil (my loose translation back to English from Russian, please, bear with me): "Interestigly, neither Hitler nor German supreme comand did not elaborate plans against England… it is evident, that Hitler attempted to acheive peace with UK on favorable for British terms… the german army was absolutely unprepared for the invasion. In the stab of the German land forces not only did not plan the invasion, but did not even considered this option. "
Hitler’s initial warning order given on 16 July 1940 reflected the most current thinking at that time. In it he also set out the revised (from a previous orde in 1939) aims. Of particular note is the following line, it was the first line of the order. (with the exception of any formal addresses, etc.)
The “current thinking” and “revised aims” you mentioned must have evaporated just few days later, because on 21st of July the planning of “Barbarossa” started. Something tells me that “Barbarossa” was much more real. Ahh, it must be because it came to reality!
“Sea Lion” was not ment seriously. Its aim was to trick both British and Russians. There was no actual intension for invasion before “Barbarossa”. Terrorising UK until “peace”- Yes, invasion and capturing the main island by force - No.
As others have mentioned, Britain was indeed a target, but was a target of oppurtunity. The oportunity presented itself, and was taken. When time ran out, the Nazis attempted to neutralise Britain in order to prevent their interference.
I agree a traget of opportunity, not the main goal in 1940. Obviously for Hitler it would be so great to go East having some sort of settlement with UK. But he did not want to go full force, because this would postpone the East endavour, which he did not want to do for various important reasons.
In is highly likely that had Russia been finished off, Op Sea Lion 2, would have been executed, originally penned in for Spring 1941. The plan was only written off in 1943. By which point, the Germans were certainly on the hop.
It is getting close to speculation, but I actually fully agree with you that UK would be the next target.
Though not necessary a millitary one.
The French Navy was a big part of the plan, luckily the Royal Navy sank the navy, in a terrible yet essential attack at Mers-el-Kebir, whilst they were cooped up at anchor.
Just a side not, the Brits were in large favor of these attacks on the allied fleat when there was danger of it being captured.
I already mentioned here the case when British attacked Danmark twice in the beginning of 19th century. The second one was rather harsh (2000 dead, 30% of the buildings destroyed), when they burned Copenhagen with fire rockets. Read here: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Battle_of_Copenhagen_(1807)