FDR Conspiracy to bomb Pearl Harbor

I think there are historical inaccuracies in just about any text one reads if one gets nit-picky enough. The question is intention and magnitude and whether it’s incompetence or sophism. I don’t think Ross had any egregious errors here, although I think he does take an overly partisan track not meant for the consumption of amateur historians.

I tend to be right wing and despise Leftists who are correct for the wrong reasons. If you read neither, why did you post a Left-wing article?

I tend to be moderately left and despise ANYONE who are knowingly incorrect for the wrong reasons. In any case, it’s hard to gauge this as merely a left wing article, and the reason I Googled it was I think I ran across it for the last series of Pearl Harbor “Conspiracy” posts as it was a nice (if imperfect) summarization that debunks many of the assertions presented by the typical “Let-it-Happen-on-Purpose” conspiracists who vary widely in their motivations–some just because they hate FDR and the “New Deal” legislation. Other’s because they’re paranoids who believe that everything happens for a reason and that a few in power can somehow control everything (the latter is called “omnipotent competence”, something any rational or sane person would ever accuse a gov’t of being). However, I don’t think the article anymore particularly “left wing” than some of the great stuff Popular Mechanics did to debunk the idiotic “Bush-Inside Job” conspiracy theories regarding 9/11. I’m no fan of Bush, but found myself defending him on many forums on that issue (if one could call that an “issue” for lack of a better term)…

Yes. I suspect many of the conspiracy theorists have profit rather than historical accuracy as their major motivation. Sensationalism definitely sells books, as the general public is ignorant of the actual history of the Pearl Harbor attack, and tends to accept whatever oddball theories are advanced, as long as they sound half-way plausible. And yes, Roosevelt takes honors among his contemporaries as a leader who generally left the conduct of military operations to the professionals during WW II. But he was not perfect in that regard; for example, Roosevelt insisted on the production of small escort vessels that were practically useless against the U-boat menace, and this left the US Eastern coast virtually defenseless in early 1942. The resulting massacre of US and British merchant ships has been blamed on Admiral King, when it should be laid at Roosevelt’s feet.

Agreed, for the most part.

Actually, this was mere speculation as no intelligence was available to indicate where the invasion convoys were bound. But it made sense to think that the Philippines would be included in the Japanese plans as the Philippine archipelago sat astride the sea routes necessary to the Japanese plans for expansion of their empire. The US had always assumed that the Japanese coveted the Philippines and that a war would start with a seizure of the US possession. In any case, the Japanese had always assumed that a US presence in the Philippines would be used to frustrate Japanese plans for seizing what they called the Southern Resources Area.

Yeah. I think there also tended to be a strain that severally underestimated the IJN’s aviation capability and believed that the Japanese would be incapable of launching strikes on Midway or Wake, much less Hawaii, in the initial phases of the War. I think the question was more like “should the U.S. go to war to assist the British or the Dutch?” as opposed to “are we going to be bombed here?”…

I’m not arguing that Mac didn’t drop the ball in the Philippines. In fact, I think Mac’s performance in the Philippines deserved a court martial at the very least. It would have been better for Roosevelt to leave Mac in command in the Philippines, and let him be captured by the Japanese. That would have enabled a unified command in the Pacific and saved many American lives over the course of the war. But Roosevelt was cognizant of Mac’s political ramifications and failed to treat him as he should have; that was Roosevelt’s failing.

I mostly agree here. But Mac was painted as a heroic figure, and perhaps he was. He may have been incompetent (or acted so despite possessing considerable talent). Whether one can court martial a senior general of Mac’s standing just for sucking is debatable however. And I’m sure you’re aware that it was pretty much the U.S. military’s policy in WWII to basically quietly relieve failed commanders and assign them to stateside training duties (something that contributed to the maddening continuation of outmoded dogmatic tactics in TRADOC). An example would be Gen. Fredendall, generally recognized as one of the worst Western Allied commanders to ever hold a post above division commander and who badly mangled the command at the Battle of the Kasserine Pass (although, to be fair, he wasn’t the only one and British Gen. Anderson also made critical errors). Even though one of Ike’s aids reported he was drunk and far to the rear in his legendary command post and was a “cowardly” “son-of-a-bitch!”. He was only quietly fired and sent back to the states with a hero’s accolades to train soldiers on how not to fight. I suspect, a similar fate would have befell MacArthur had his hubris in the Philippines been better understood and hindsight removed from the “fog-of-war”…

As for the B-17, the USAAF knew very well that it was not an effective anti-shipping bomber, at least in the numbers available, or projected to become available, in the Philippines. Hap Arnold knowingly oversold the capabilities of the B-17 in an attempt to promote strategic bombing and an independent Air Force. Certainly, the US Navy was not convinced and quite correctly withdrew it’s major forces from the Philippines promptly upon the outbreak of war.

I agree that the B-17 was limited in its effectiveness and was disingenuously oversold firstly as a maritime patrol aircraft for political purposes–mainly because the idea of strategic bombing was an anathema to the American public and regarded as tantamount to nuclear warfare today–then as a miracle strat bomber. I would take issue with the fact that the USAAF DID believe that strategic bombing could be effective against enemy fleets for quite sometime before they adopted tactical skip-bombing tactics using medium bombers later in the War. The U.S. Navy pulled back because they had already been savaged at Pearl Harbor and could not afford to take anymore losses and everyone involved knew that no relief force would come to the beleaguered Americans’ aid for quite sometime…

No, in the early 1930’s the US Navy was governed by Congress, primarily through the Vinson Act, which limited the authorized tonnage of every class of warship the Navy was allowed to build. The Vinson Act did not even allow the Navy to build up to Washington and London Naval treaty limits until 1938. In fact, the designed tonnage of US navy vessels was typically held under treaty limits and resulted in unsatisfactory carriers such as the Ranger (on which my father served in the late 1930’s). It was not until mid-1940, and the Fall of France, that the US Navy was authorized to build the Essex-class carriers which began to become available in 1943. Contrary to what most people think, the US Navy was NOT battleship-oriented after1939; absolute top priority was given to the construction of carriers in 1940, and resulted in construction times of Essex-class carriers averaging an astonishing 18 months.

Yet the hulls of the venerable Enterprise and Yorktown were laid down by early 1934 as the result of the Vinson-Trammell Expansion Program which sought to both ‘stimulate the economy’ and aid national defense. I agree that the Fall of France was a watershed moment for the U.S. Armed Forces, but there were attempts to gradually upgrade the U.S. fleets in the early 1930s. I do also concur that the U.S. Navy was beginning to transcend the ‘battleship-first’ mentality and had been on the cutting edge of dive-bombing for sometime. Something the Luftwaffe was well aware of when they procured USN dive-bombers for their own experimentation–ultimately leading to the tactics and the weapons systems such as the Stuka…

[QUOTE=Rising Sun*;169879]

Or am I missing something here, along the lines that there was and is an all-powerful conspiracy by the NSA et al to conceal the truth but the all-powerful conspirators nonetheless allowed supposedly incriminating documents to be released to Sinnett so he could expose their treason?

Maybe because those all-powerful conspirators are all dead, don’t you think?

Actually, there was a war-game aided by computers conducted a couple of years ago in which both sides suffered heavy losses and it was hardly a clear-cut American victory as they suffered more naval casualties than what took place at Pearl Harbor. Although, the Japanese also suffered much higher losses, including over 150-planes shot down and a few ships of their own sunk. In any case, advance warning may still not have given the U.S. fleet time to sortie. At best, they may have scrambled the congested fields of P-40 Tomahawk fighters, something that would have taken almost an act-of-God to do on a Sunday morning…

Those would be the arguments of the losers of a war attempting to insulate themselves from the responsibilities of their actions as aggressors…

War is EVERYTHING about victims and murders, and while I agree there is no absolutist “black and white,” I think we can regard those who started the War in shades of much darker gray…

And why would the Imperial Japanese be innocent even if that were the case? And I think it has been shown that this isn’t the case as no one thought the Japanese were going to hit Pearl Harbor on December 7, 1941, with the exception of the instigators…

Or maybe because conspiracies of such scale and involving so many actors are completely impossible to keep secret. Read “Chaos Theory” for more info…

Kurt must be a fan of Hegelian Dialectics.

You are right, it is impossible to keep it secret that’s why people like Admiral Kimmel knew about it.
Why don’t you help us with a synthesis Mr. Tankgeezer?

No thank you, if ever I were to enjoy pointless drama, I would watch Jerry Springer.

What did Adm. Kimmel “know about” again? Specifically? And why did he have such knowledge?

It doubtless came through his U.S. Navy issue Ouija board.

You could be on to something here.

Kimmel’s board was the early 1938 model made by Telefunken in Germany.

FDR’s was the superior mid-1941 model made in America by IBM. It was the first form of over the horizon Ouija, whereas Kimmel’s was pretty much line of sight and subject to weather interference.

FDR wouldn’t let the armed forces have the IBM model until 10 December 1941, for reasons which have never been satisfactorily explained.

I think we can all see why now.

No, I didn’t quote him and he’s not my witness.

Here is my entire post at #10:

Here’s some more to study, with links to further articles in Budiansky’s reply to Sinnett. http://www.independent.org/newsroom/article.asp?id=445

But if you want conspiracy theories, this is the place. http://www.apfn.org/apfn/pearl_harbor.htm

You might as well accuse me of supporting conspiracy theories from that post.

I posted twice Sinnett’s version of the radio message.

Where?

BTW, somewhere along the way I / we have started saying Sinnett rather than Stinnett

What I think is irrelevant.

It’s Stinnett who thinks they’re still active in the NSA so, unfortunately for your position, the conspirators are not all dead. Obviously they’re still very active, as Stinnett shows here.

Immediately after Day of Deceit appeared in bookstores in 1999, NSA began withdrawing pre-Pearl Harbor documents from the Crane Files housed in Archives II. This means the government decided to continue 60 years of Pearl Harbor censorship. As of January 2002, over two dozen NSA withdrawal notices have triggered the removal of Pearl Harbor documents from public inspection.

The number of pages in the withdrawn documents appears to be in the hundreds. Among the records withdrawn are those of Admiral Harold R. Stark, the 1941 Chief of Naval Operations, as well as crypto records authored by Commander Joseph J. Rochefort, the chief cryptographer for the Pacific Fleet at the time of Pearl Harbor. Under the Crane File transfer agreement with National Archives, NSA has the legal right to withdraw any document based on national defense concerns.
http://www.independent.org/newsroom/article.asp?id=445

So the conspiracy continues either because (a) the NSA is run by people aged at least well into their 80s and probably 90s and 100s who are still trying to bury evidence of what FDR did in WWII or (b) the NSA is protecting those people even though the NSA didn’t exist in WWII and has nothing to gain and everything to lose by failing to demonstrate the supremacy of code-breaking for national security purposes, in which case it would be to the NSA’s advantage to support the Stinnett position that America had broken the IJN codes.

Nonetheless, the NSA has been busy for years creating and spreading disinformation about Pearl Harbor and supporting the claim that America hadn’t broken the IJN codes http://www.nsa.gov/applications/search/index.cfm?q=fdr%20pearl%20harbor Could there be clearer evidence of a conspiracy? :shock:

Just look at this transparent attempt to pretend that America could read only the Japanese diplomatic code and not the IJN codes, with convenient claims of changes to the JN-25B code in the months and days leading up to PH to try to conceal the fact that America was reading everything the Japanese transmitted (including everything that wasn’t transmitted by the PH attack force while observing radio silence on its journey).

A second version of this system, known to U.S. Navy cryptanalysts as JN-25B, was introduced on December 1, 1940. Six months later, the Japanese Navy replaced the additive book. The additive book was replaced in August and again on 4 December 1941, three days before the Japanese attack on American bases in Hawaii.

These rapid changes in the codebook and its additive required that U.S. cryptanalysts begin again with each change – virtually at the beginning – to attack the system. It is estimated that prior to the change of the additive book in August 1941, the cryptanalysts had recovered only 2,000 code groups in JN-25 – about 4% of the codebook – and these were mostly numerals and stereotyped phrases.

During the Currier-Sinkov mission to Great Britain [see tomorrow’s installment], as U.S.-UK cooperation began, the British authorized their cryptologic unit at Singapore to begin exchanges about JN-25. It turned out the Americans and the British had had roughly equal success in recovering JN-25 codebook values – but the recoveries were in different parts of the codebook, so, at a stroke, each doubled their number of recoveries!

Even with this bonanza, however, there were too few recoveries to begin reading the underlying text.

One factor limiting progress was the limited staffpower available for cryptanalysis. Another factor was priorities: since America’s political leaders were avid readers of the PURPLE diplomatic decrypts, the major effort in Washington was to process the diplomatic system.

Yep, that’s sure an open and shut case against the NSA, just like Stinnett says. :confused: :confused:

I saw this on a repeat of “In search of” with Leonard Nimoy. An irrefutable source authority.

I came across it in some obscure references to a closed session of the House Un-American Activities Committee in the late 1940s or early 1950s.

I can’t confidently recall the name of the bloke, but I think it was something like Mack or Ken or MacKenzie Worth, whose testimony never reached the public record although there are references to it in the few obscure publications which haven’t been pulped by the NSA.

He died a few months after the Committee hearing in a single car ‘accident’ in Arizona. Which is very odd as up till then he had lived all his life in Boston, apart from service in the USN starting in 1932 and which from about 1939 was in units related to code-breaking, most notably on the roving signal corvette USS Enterprise which was expunged from the records because of the secrecy attached to its work. However, there are still details here http://www.corvette/enterprise.com/

:slight_smile: For me conspirators were the people who actually were part of this plot in 1941, (internet is kind of a ouija, as you noted with horror we had admiral Kimmel summoned by Chevan in this thread)
the other people that try to hide information nowadays, just employees doing their work, would you imagine the effect in the american public of such revelation after the Irak " massive destruction weapons" swindle?

Mr Worth was reported to have shared a booth at a roadside diner with Carlos Allende. the Corvette Enterprise was birthed very near Uss Eldridge. The waitress( “Madge”) on duty at the time reported to authorities that worth passed secret documents cleverly disguised as a menu to Carlos, and that after communicating through “some type of secret code” i.e. shakes of the sugar dispenser, stirring coffee this way, then opposite in a clearly subversive manner, Mr. Worth departed, after which Carlos made a phone call . (the record of this call oddly, is somehow missing from Bell Company records) Mr. worth’s mysterious crash occurred at roughly the same time The secret system aboard the Eldridge was being “calibrated” by a technician from the OSRD named Edgar Kilroy. What is unusual is that Mr, Kilroy’s presence has been reported in many places far distant from each other, all within days, or weeks of each other.
This incongruity has never been properly explained, and the Pentagon staunchly refuses to comment stating that all records of such personnel, divisions, and activities were destroyed on 9-11 when the hijacked (??) airliner crashed into that building.

this:

I believe those who had seen the intercepted and decoded Japanese messages, including the 14 part message received on December 6 and December 7, 1941, knew war with Japan was inevitable. And the almost certain objective of the Jpanese attack would be the fleet at Pearl Harbor, on December 7, 1941, at 1 p.m. Washington time.
Why he knew it?, maybe Tankgeezer can resume the interview using his Ouija.